5
Itdontcomeeasy
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |