7
Wahida Of Mardan
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 64
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |