3

Booyea
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 84
Gowran Park · Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | BHA86 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA89 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA89 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | BHA85 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | BHA86 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 14/09/2025 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 27/09/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 18% | -0.45 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 81% | +0.39 |
| 12/09/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |