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City House

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 89

Gowran Park · Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Without a win this year but some good runs in defeat for Ado McGuinness and arrives in better heart than recent form figures suggest, left with plenty to do on both of his last 2 starts. Likely to be involved at the finish if breaking on terms.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA99 @ Dundalk 06/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 99 · 5f Std 138 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 99 par6/0299OR 99BHA96 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 96 · 6f Std 137 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 96 par2 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 96 · 6f Std 127 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 96 par3/042OR 96BHA94 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 94 · 5f205y Gd 134 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Chester 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 94 · 7f127y Gd 129 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 94 par6/052OR 94BHA95 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 22 · OR 95 · 6f Gd 136 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 95 parBHA95 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 95 · 7f Gd 130 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 95 par14/0695OR 95BHA94 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 94 · 6f63y Goo 132 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 92 · 7f Yie 130 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 92 par2/0892OR 92projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02GalwayBHA927th7th0
2026-07-18CurraghBHA9411th11th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA954th4th0
2026-05-23CurraghBHA958th8th0
2026-05-06Chester24th4th0
2026-04-27NaasBHA945th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0227/0414/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/02/20264th12/137%0%-0.37
20/02/20262nd40/10%89%+0.89
03/04/202612th33/10%15%+0.15
27/04/20265th11/142%64%+0.22
06/05/20264th20/10%75%+0.75
23/05/20268th20/10%67%+0.67
14/06/20264th18/15%79%+0.73
18/07/202611th10/147%47%0.00
02/08/20267th40/10%54%+0.54