5

Go Sioux Me

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 74

Gowran Park · Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Continued a theme of run-to-run progression and showed a solid turn of foot when winning a 7f maiden at Down Royal when last seen in September 2023. Mammoth absence to overcome.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 28/06/2023 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 13428/06C8C0 @ Naas 08/07/2023 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 7f Goo 1318/07C?C8 @ Down Royal 25/09/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Hvy 13425/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2023-09-25Down Royal?1st1st0
2023-07-08Naas?3rd3rd0
2023-06-28Naas?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/068/0725/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%

Delivery trend -24.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20234th40/10%67%+0.67
08/07/20233rd22/10%33%+0.33
25/09/20231st7/282%100%+0.18