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Mumhan

3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 86

Gowran Park · Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★ Timeform

Commentary

Debut winner of 6f Curragh maiden as a 2-y-o but has come unstuck in graded company since either side of a 6-month break. Returns from another 5-month absence here and has plenty to prove to at present.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 6f Yie 13327/09C81 @ Leopardstown 18/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f30y Yie 13118/1011 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f42y Goo 13112/041projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-12Leopardstown110th10th0
2025-10-18Leopardstown15th5th0
2025-09-27Curragh?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0918/1012/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -16.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
18/10/20255th14/126%0%-0.26
12/04/202610th22/10%10%+0.10