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Castilian Queen

2yo Filly · 9-2

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel filly who showed plenty to work on under a considerate ride when 7¼ lengths fourth of 17 to Alpine Wedding in maiden at Cork on debut. Will be suited by step up to 1m and looks sure to progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20264th8/158%81%+0.23