3

Isle Of Capri

2yo Filly · 9-2

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on debut effort despite still looking far from the finished article when 2¾ lengths third of 14 to So Lovely in 7f maiden at Leopardstown last month. Open to further improvement stepping up to 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f Gd 12828/06C8C8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12820/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Leopardstown?3rd3rd0
2026-06-28Curragh?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -15.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
20/08/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43