Nevermindtherain

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 98

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

76%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼3

Strength94%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C5.1

Today:

Class gap: +2.9

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-14	Cork	1	8th	-1th	+7	5.0
2026-07-23	Leopardstown	1	3rd	-6th	+7	5.0
2026-07-09	Leopardstown	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-05-16	Navan	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-04-04	Cork	?	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +18.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
04/04/2026	5th	5/2	87%	20%	-0.67
16/05/2026	5th	5/2	87%	33%	-0.54
09/07/2026	3rd	13/2	66%	83%	+0.18
23/07/2026	3rd	25/1	0%	60%	+0.60
14/08/2026	8th	11/1	42%	13%	-0.30