8

Violet Be Humble

2yo Filly · 9-2

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cotai Glory filly. Dam placed over 6f at 2 yrs. Is bred to be sharp and has shown ability on both starts in maidens but is probably one for handicaps later on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f211y Gd 1292/07C8C8 @ Leopardstown 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f Goo 12523/07C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Leopardstown?5th5th0
2026-07-02Bellewstown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +27.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
23/07/20265th22/10%64%+0.64