1

A I Nation

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Gowran Park · Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Better effort in maidens at the Curragh when 1¾ lengths seventh of 13 to Darkness Falls in 1m event last month. Unlikely to be of much interest this side of nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/08C8C8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?7th7th0
2026-08-09Curragh?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/202611th125/10%44%+0.44
29/08/20267th80/10%50%+0.50