2

Albany County

2yo Colt · 9-5

Gowran Park · Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising type who has finished in the frame in maidens at the Curragh in August, 7 lengths second of 13 to Darkness Falls in 1m event last time. Remains open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13316/08C8C8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?2nd2nd0
2026-08-16Curragh?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend -56.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
29/08/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10