7

Kilconnell

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Gowran Park · Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Timeform

Commentary

Too Darn Hot colt. Well beaten last of 14 in 7f maiden at Leopardstown on debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 14.0 /10 (raw 14.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 13520/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Leopardstown?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 12-17 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/202614th14/126%0%-0.26