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13

Ted's Turn

2yo Colt · 9-5

Gowran Park · Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shaped well on both outings in maidens, not knocked about when 9½ lengths fifth of 13 to Darkness Falls in 1m event at the Curragh last time. Remains with potential, though it will be in handicaps over further where we'll undoubtedly see the best of him,

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Gd 13315/05C8C8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?5th5th0
2026-05-15Leopardstown?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +33.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
29/08/20265th25/10%67%+0.67