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5

Sindria

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 101

Gowran Park · Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) · 1m 1f 100y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Impressive winner of a 1m handicap here in April before following up in C&D listed race in May. Has found life tougher since but ran creditably when 4¼ lengths third to Miss Scott in Snow Fairy Fillies Stakes at the Curragh last time. Will benefit from return to this track and must be respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength32%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 12/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f47y Sft 12912/06C8BHA83 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 83 · 1m Goo 126 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 83 parBHA81 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 81 · 7f111y Sft 139 · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 81 par13/1081OR 81BHA82 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 82 · 7f180y Sft 142 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 82 par1 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 93 · 1m1f100y Goo 131 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 93 par5/051OR 931 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 100 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 100 par1 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 1m30y Goo 138 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 100 par7/061OR 1001 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 100 · 1m2f Gd 132 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 100 par1 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 101 · 1m1f Gd 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 101 par29/081OR 101projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh13rd3rd0
2026-06-28Curragh15th5th0
2026-06-07Navan13rd3rd−0
2026-05-24Curragh19th9th+0
2026-05-05Gowran Park11st1st−0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA821st10th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/068/047/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
13/09/202517th12/137%16%-0.21
13/10/20254th18/15%79%+0.73
08/04/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
05/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
24/05/20269th9/153%27%-0.25
07/06/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
28/06/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
29/08/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32