IvyArcIvyArc
12

Star Performer

3yo Filly · 9-2

Gowran Park · Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) · 1m 1f 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sea The Stars filly who has made a highly promising start to her career, winning both outings, including a C&D listed race last month by 4½ lengths from Hollys Graces. Open to further improvement as she steps up again in grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f GF 12919/07C81 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f100y GF 12712/081projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Gowran Park11st1st−0
2026-07-19Curragh?1st10th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
12/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18