3

Brigerbad

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y

#12

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten in maidens. Up in trip. Outsider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 13424/07C8C8 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Goo 13425/08C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Bellewstown?8th8th0
2026-07-24Cork?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +50.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/202613th66/10%0%0.00
25/08/20268th250/10%50%+0.50