4
Colpe Cross
5yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 70
Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Galway | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Down Royal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 16/5 | 83% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |