5

Rocket Robyn

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 62

Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden. Bit below form ninth of 18 in handicap (18/1) at Cork (1½m, good to soft) 20 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 11/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 12911/10C8C8 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f100y Hvy 129C8 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 23 · OR 76 · 1m4f Hvy 129 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 76 par2/11C8OR 76C8 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 75 · 7f Hvy 142 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 75 parBHA74 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 74 · 7f180y Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 74 par8/0474OR 74BHA69 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 69 · 1m1f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 69 parBHA66 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m2f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 66 par27/0666OR 66C8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m2f150y Std 130 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 65 parBHA64 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 64 · 1m4f Yie 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 64 par30/0864OR 64projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA649th7th+2
2026-07-12Dundalk?2nd2nd0
2026-06-27CurraghBHA669th7th+1
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA696th5th+1
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA7410th9th+1
2026-03-15Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1015/0327/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20259th25/10%47%+0.47
20/10/20252nd28/10%86%+0.86
02/11/20259th12/137%64%+0.27
15/03/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
08/04/202610th33/10%40%+0.40
11/06/20266th28/10%58%+0.58
27/06/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
12/07/20262nd11/142%80%+0.38
30/08/20269th18/15%53%+0.48