Ryefield Dasher
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 70
Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA70 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA71 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA74 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | BHA75 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.53 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 28/06/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |