12
Sherekiya
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 67
Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA67 | 8th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA68 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA68 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Leopardstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 59% | -0.15 |