8

Storzando

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 68

Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced gelding. Ran to a decent level when third at Down Royal in July but hasn't come close to reproducing it in 3 subsequent outings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1348/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f140y Goo 13417/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1341/08C8BHA77 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m2f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 77 par16/0877OR 77C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m20y Goo 134 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 72 par2/09C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?8th8th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA7711th11th+0
2026-08-01Galway?7th7th0
2026-07-17Down Royal?3rd3rd0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0717/071/0816/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20266th66/10%64%+0.64
17/07/20263rd80/10%67%+0.67
01/08/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
16/08/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
02/09/20268th100/10%42%+0.42