9

Suir Monad

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 67

Gowran Park · SIS Maiden · 1m 1f 100y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

38%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when reaching the frame on all 4 starts, most recently a handicap over 8.5f at Galway. The way he stuck to his task on that occasion suggests this longer trip may be within range.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 13310/12C8C8 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f180y Sft 1349/04C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1341/08C8BHA69 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m98y Sft 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 69 par8/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA694th3rd+1
2026-08-01Galway?3rd3rd0
2026-04-09Gowran Park?4th4th0
2025-12-10Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/129/041/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20254th17/255%75%+0.20
09/04/20264th7/491%67%-0.24
01/08/20263rd3/184%82%-0.02
08/09/20264th17/255%77%+0.22