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12

Chirac

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 62

Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y

#11

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Justified support here (7f) in April but beaten favourite on all 4 starts since and he hasn't been shaping as if in need of this longer trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 13310/12C8C0 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 131C8 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 5f Std 13228/01C8BHA56 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 56 · 5f Sft 124 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 55 · 7f Sft 134 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 55 par22/0455OR 55BHA62 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m Sft 132 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 133 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 62 par14/0662OR 62BHA64 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m20y Gd 124 · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Killarney 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 64 · 1m30y Gd 129 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 64 par21/0864OR 64projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21KillarneyBHA644th4th0
2026-07-13KillarneyBHA644th4th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA622nd2nd0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA626th6th0
2026-04-22Gowran ParkBHA551st1st0
2026-03-22NaasBHA564th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1222/0314/0621/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/202510th3/184%25%-0.59
13/01/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
28/01/202611th50/10%17%+0.17
22/03/20264th8/158%79%+0.21
22/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
04/06/20266th9/488%58%-0.30
14/06/20262nd16/583%91%+0.08
13/07/20264th7/282%57%-0.24
21/08/20264th7/282%63%-0.19