11

Cladach

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 63

Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y

#10

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not yet fully exposed and starting to go the right way, backing up his third here (7f) with a second at Galway 11 days ago, shaping as if this stiffer test will suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1348/07C8C8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 13424/07C8C7 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f Goo 1367/08C7BHA66 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 27 · OR 66 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 66 par22/0866OR 66BHA65 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 65 · 7f Yie 125 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 65 par1/0965OR 65BHA62 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 62 · 1m98y Sft 132 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 62 par8/0962OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA622nd2nd0
2026-09-01Gowran ParkBHA653rd3rd0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA668th8th0
2026-08-07Gowran Park?10th10th0
2026-07-24Cork?9th9th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0724/077/0822/081/098/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
24/07/20269th10/147%33%-0.14
07/08/202610th9/153%18%-0.34
22/08/20268th16/116%73%+0.57
01/09/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22
08/09/20262nd9/276%92%+0.16