16
Deuteronomy
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 51
Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y
#13
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA53 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA57 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Killarney | BHA59 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA59 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA59 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairyhouse | BHA60 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |