2
Maeve Brennan
4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 69
Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA70 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA70 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | BHA70 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | BHA70 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 95% | +0.19 |
| 24/05/2026 | 21st | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 94% | +0.68 |