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13

Miss Crinshawn

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57

Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y

#16

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who hit the frame first 5 starts this season. However, not in same form tried over a variety of trips since and headgear now applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 16/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sft 13816/04C8BHA58 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 58 · 1m1f58y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 58 parBHA57 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 57 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 57 par30/0157OR 57BHA57 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 57 · 1m3f190y Yie 139 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 57 parBHA58 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 58 · 1m2f90y Sft 140 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 58 par19/0558OR 58BHA62 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 62 · 1m5f Yie 133 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Tramore 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 62 · 1m4f Goo 136 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 62 par7/0762OR 62BHA61 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m1f135y Goo 132 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 61 parBHA60 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 22 · OR 60 · 1m6f Goo 142 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 60 par27/0860OR 60projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27NavanBHA6011th11th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA617th7th0
2026-07-07TramoreBHA623rd3rd0
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA624th4th0
2026-05-19CorkBHA582nd2nd0
2026-04-25LimerickBHA574th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0425/047/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20257th22/10%40%+0.40
16/09/202510th22/10%25%+0.25
30/01/20263rd40/10%83%+0.83
25/04/20264th12/137%80%+0.43
19/05/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29
22/06/20264th9/153%75%+0.22
07/07/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
20/07/20267th7/282%45%-0.36
27/08/202611th9/153%52%-0.00