14

Roaming Coyote

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 61

Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well backed when showing big improvement to finish second to a subsequent winner on his handicap bow over C&D in June, pulling clear of the rest. Shaped as if amiss later that month and off since (has been gelded). No surprise if he bounced back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m Yie 12816/10C8C8 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 13424/04C8C8 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f120y Sft 1323/05C8BHA57 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m1f120y Yie 137 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 57 par1/0657OR 57BHA63 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m2f96y Sft 133 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 63 par20/0663OR 63projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA6310th10th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA572nd2nd0
2026-05-03Cork?6th6th0
2026-04-24Cork?7th7th0
2025-10-16Curragh?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1024/043/051/0620/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 16-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -24.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/202511th100/10%33%+0.33
24/04/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
03/05/20266th125/10%44%+0.44
01/06/20262nd4/179%92%+0.13
20/06/202610th5/287%0%-0.87