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10

Sunrise Angel

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 64

Gowran Park · Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap · 1m 1f 100y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to form when a clear-cut winner under this rider at Cork 3 weeks ago, justifying good support in the process. Another career best probably required off 9 lb higher, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tipperary 31/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13331/08C8C8 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f Yie 131BHA63 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 63 · 7f Yie 121 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 63 par28/0963OR 63BHA67 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 67 · 7f Std 125 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 67 parBHA66 @ Cork 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 66 · 1m Sft 124 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 66 par4/0466OR 66BHA65 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 65 · 7f111y Gd 133 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 65 parBHA60 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m30y Gd 140 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 60 par14/0760OR 60BHA57 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 57 · 7f Goo 139 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 57 parBHA55 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 55 · 1m Yie 137 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 55 par30/0855OR 55projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA551st1st0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA576th6th0
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA606th6th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA6511th11th0
2026-04-04CorkBHA668th8th0
2025-10-17DundalkBHA674th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0817/1014/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -7.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/202511th200/10%9%+0.09
10/09/20253rd100/10%78%+0.78
28/09/20252nd22/10%90%+0.90
17/10/20254th14/126%75%+0.49
04/04/20268th3/184%13%-0.72
11/05/202611th8/158%17%-0.41
14/07/20266th11/271%55%-0.17
07/08/20266th7/163%62%-0.02
30/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26