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13

Cause I Like You

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 48

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Killarney in July. Good second of 16 at Cork late last month but needs to shrug off a poor run at Navan.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA49 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 49 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 49 par23/0449OR 49BHA48 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 126 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 48 parBHA46 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 46 · 1m Gd 119 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 46 par14/0646OR 46BHA44 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 44 · 1m1f163y Yie 124 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 44 parBHA43 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 43 · 7f211y Gd 123 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 43 par2/0743OR 43BHA42 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 42 · 1m30y Gd 122 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 42 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 49 par15/0849OR 49BHA49 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 49 · 1m Yie 131 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 49 parBHA48 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 48 · 1m2f10y Gd 124 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 48 par5/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 6th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA4816th16th0
2026-08-30CorkBHA492nd2nd0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA495th5th0
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA421st1st0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA432nd2nd0
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA445th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0422/0615/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1972% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20264th11/142%67%+0.25
05/05/202611th12/137%23%-0.14
14/06/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
22/06/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
02/07/20262nd5/174%93%+0.19
14/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
15/08/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
30/08/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
05/09/202616th7/163%25%-0.38