2
Chipsrdown
4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 58
Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA55 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | BHA56 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | BHA58 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | BHA58 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Tipperary | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 19100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2025 | 15th | 250/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/05/2025 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/05/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |