11

Gordon Bennett

8yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 48

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#17

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hold-up performer who has been winless for 4 years. Not seen to best effect in this headgear at Roscommon last time but he's not one to be making too many excuses for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA69 @ Laytown 04/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Std 167 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 69 par4/0969OR 69BHA65 @ Fairyhouse 22/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 65 · 6f Yie 136 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 65 parBHA65 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 65 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 65 par4/1065OR 65BHA64 @ Curragh 21/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 64 · 6f Hvy 125 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 64 parC8 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 61 · 6f Std 122 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 61 par5/11C8OR 61BHA60 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 60 · 6f Std 142 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 60 parBHA56 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 56 · 7f42y Goo 139 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 56 par6/0856OR 56BHA56 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 138 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 56 parBHA53 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 53 · 7f94y Yie 135 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 53 par31/0853OR 53projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA537th7th0
2026-08-23NaasBHA567th7th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA5610th10th0
2025-12-03DundalkBHA609th9th0
2025-11-05Dundalk?3rd3rd0
2025-10-21CurraghBHA6414th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0921/106/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20253rd11/142%78%+0.36
22/09/20254th17/255%82%+0.27
04/10/20256th11/271%64%-0.07
21/10/202514th40/10%19%+0.19
05/11/20253rd11/271%83%+0.12
03/12/20259th9/153%38%-0.14
06/08/202610th12/137%44%+0.07
23/08/20267th22/10%67%+0.67
31/08/20267th20/10%54%+0.54