11

Gordon Bennett
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 48
Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#17
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA53 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA56 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA56 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Dundalk | BHA60 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | BHA64 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1928% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 21/10/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 03/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 06/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.07 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |