18

Prada's World

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 45

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#16

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Timeform

Commentary

Posted her best effort when third of 16 in a Galway nursery for Christopher Timmons. However, seen only twice for current yard, always behind after 16 months off at Naas 4 weeks ago. Back up in trip. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 10/09/2024 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 12510/09C8C8 @ Cork 01/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m Yie 1281/10C8C8 @ Naas 12/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m Yie 12812/10C8BHA56 @ Galway 28/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 56 · 7f Hvy 124 · beat its mark28/10/2024 · OR 56 par28/1056OR 56BHA55 @ Navan 26/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 55 · 5f Sft 119 · beat its mark26/04/2025 · OR 55 par26/0455OR 55BHA49 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 49 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 49 par23/0849OR 49projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23NaasBHA4915th15th0
2025-04-26NavanBHA5511th11th0
2024-10-28GalwayBHA563rd3rd0
2024-10-12Naas?8th8th0
2024-10-01Cork?9th9th0
2024-09-10Galway?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/091/1012/1028/1026/0423/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 3-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/202414th40/10%13%+0.13
01/10/20249th150/10%43%+0.43
12/10/20248th200/10%30%+0.30
28/10/20243rd100/10%87%+0.87
26/04/202511th33/10%47%+0.47
23/08/202615th40/10%22%+0.22