8

Princess Chloe

3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 58

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed improved form switched to turf when runner-up at Limerick in July. Holding form well since, including respectable fifth of 22 at Cork on yard debut 10 days ago. Headgear back on (Visor on first time).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 12613/01C?C8 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f Std 127C8 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 12911/02C8BHA61 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 61 · 7f Std 129 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 61 parBHA57 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 57 · 6f150y Gd 137 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 57 par11/0757OR 57BHA60 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 60 parC7 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 61 · 7f Goo 123 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 61 par7/08C7OR 61BHA58 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 22 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 58 par9/0958OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA585th5th0
2026-08-07Gowran Park?5th5th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA604th4th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA572nd2nd0
2026-02-27DundalkBHA618th8th0
2026-02-11Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0127/027/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
28/01/202610th125/10%25%+0.25
11/02/20264th200/10%75%+0.75
27/02/20268th40/10%42%+0.42
11/07/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
25/07/20264th6/168%77%+0.08
07/08/20265th7/282%64%-0.18
09/09/20265th18/15%81%+0.76