8

Princess Chloe
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 58
Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA58 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA60 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA57 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | BHA61 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/01/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 77% | +0.08 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 81% | +0.76 |