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Reponse Finale

4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 57

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made winning start for this yard over further here last month before scoring for the second time in 3 days at Dundalk. Kept busy since and was only just denied another win at Clonmel on Wednesday. Shortlisted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA44 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 44 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 44 par26/1144OR 44BHA46 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR 46 · 1m Goo 128 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 46 parBHA45 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 45 · 6f25y Gd 127 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 45 par28/0545OR 45BHA43 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 43 · 6f Goo 127 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 43 parBHA42 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 42 · 1m1f100y GF 124 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 42 par12/0842OR 42BHA42 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 42 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 40 · 1m Std 129 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 40 par15/0840OR 40BHA57 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 57 · 7f Std 154 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 57 parBHA57 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m1f168y Yie 139 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 57 par16/0957OR 57projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA572nd2nd0
2026-09-10LaytownBHA574th4th0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA401st1st0
2026-08-14CorkBHA422nd2nd0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA421st1st0
2026-06-05FairyhouseBHA434th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/115/0615/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1989% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/202513th33/10%8%+0.08
24/04/202617th25/10%6%+0.06
28/05/20268th66/10%59%+0.59
05/06/20264th9/153%81%+0.29
12/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/08/20262nd11/893%94%+0.01
15/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
10/09/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
16/09/20262nd5/287%92%+0.05