3
Selective Power
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 58
Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA62 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | BHA64 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Dundalk | BHA64 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Dundalk | BHA67 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1994% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 7% | -0.09 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 20/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |