17

Spinning Web

6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 45

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

No form over jumps this year and faded to finish well held back on the Flat both starts this summer. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA49 @ Tramore 08/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 49 · 1m4f Gd 138 · beat its mark08/07/2025 · OR 49 par8/0749OR 49BHA110 @ Sligo 13/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 110 · 3m1f146y Goo 166 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 110 parBHA110 @ Galway 30/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 20 · OR 110 · 2m6f Gd 166 · below its mark30/07/2025 · OR 110 par30/07110OR 110BHA53 @ Tramore 16/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 53 · 2m Goo 137 · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 53 parC8 @ Sligo 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 124 · 2m1f120y Yie 170 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 124 par1/10C8OR 124BHA109 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 109 · 2m110y Goo 165 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 109 parC8 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 107 · 2m3f116y Goo 168 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 107 par14/05C8OR 107BHA51 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 51 · 1m5f Goo 133 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 51 parBHA49 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m4f Goo 133 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 49 par15/0849OR 49projClass-projected finish: 17th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15TramoreBHA498th8th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA5110th10th0
2026-05-14Clonmel?8th8th0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA10913th13th0
2026-03-31LimerickBHA1200
2026-03-21NavanBHA1200

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0716/0814/0515/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 12-19 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 19th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20252nd5/287%91%+0.04
13/07/202510th10/382%10%-0.72
30/07/20259th16/116%58%+0.42
16/08/20255th7/491%50%-0.41
01/10/20253rd11/271%60%-0.11
24/04/202613th12/137%8%-0.29
14/05/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
07/06/202610th14/126%40%+0.14
15/08/20268th9/153%13%-0.40