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6

Watercraft

3yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 60

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Didn't show much in 3 starts for Richard Hannon (sold for 11,000gns) despite being prominent in the betting in 2 of them.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 09/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/0945 @ Southwell 07/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1337/1054 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f16y Goo 13129/054projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-29Chepstow46th6th0
2025-10-07Southwell56th6th0
2025-09-09Leicester48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/097/1029/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1939% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20258th7/282%30%-0.52
07/10/20256th18/15%50%+0.45
29/05/20266th11/271%0%-0.71