8
Bay Of Bengal
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |