3
Dime Papi
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |