9
Friolento
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |