Jades Jay
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |