2

Oasis Prince

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85

Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength31%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Gulfstream 26/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 96 · 1m70y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 96 par26/07C7OR 96C8 @ Gulfstream 19/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m 120 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Gulfstream 27/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 94 · 1m Gd 120 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 94 par27/09C8OR 94C8 @ Gulfstream 02/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 28/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark28/12/2025 · OR 95 par28/12C8OR 95C8 @ Gulfstream 08/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Gulfstream 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 1m Slo 123 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 87 par2/04C8OR 87C6 @ Gulfstream 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Gulfstream 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 83 par17/05C7OR 83projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Gulfstream?7th6th+1
2026-04-30Gulfstream?3rd1st+2
2026-04-02Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-03-08Gulfstream?10th10th0
2025-12-28Gulfstream?4th4th0
2025-11-02Gulfstream?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/072/112/0417/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
19/09/20253rd9/488%60%-0.28
27/09/20253rd9/488%78%-0.10
02/11/20255th20/10%56%+0.56
28/12/20254th10/147%50%+0.03
08/03/202610th14/126%0%-0.26
02/04/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
30/04/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
17/05/20267th12/137%14%-0.23