5
Speed Control
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |