Mahovlich
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 23/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 19/04/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |