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6

Marilyn's Mate

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 58

Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 19/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS19/07C6C6 @ Gulfstream 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 57 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 57 par27/07C6OR 57C6 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 70 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 70 par31/08C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2026-07-27Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-19Gulfstream?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0727/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -10.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
27/07/20263rd15/261%50%-0.11
31/08/20265th20/10%0%0.00