Pike
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |