Woodster
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |