2
Do I Look Worried
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 75
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 15/02/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |